Chart of the Month

14.10.2020 Author/s: [current-user:display-name]

Zwischen Nachfrage, Neubau und Nachhaltigkeit

Die 6. Studie „Logistik und Immobilien“ zeigt: Nicht nur Onlinehandel und Corona-Effekte führen 2020 zu einem riesigen Zuwachs an Neubauflächen. Dennoch reicht das Volumen nicht, um die Nachfrage zu decken.

12.10.2020 Author/s: [current-user:display-name]

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02.10.2020 Author/s: Dierk Freitag

October: Holiday hotel industry gains attention

The lockdown brought tourism in Germany, as everywhere else in the world, almost to a complete standstill. Since then, the number of overnight stays has collapsed, in some cases by more than 90 percent in major German cities. The fact that the figures are not even worse overall is due to the vacation hotel industry. Developers and investors have long been thinking about new projects

01.09.2020 Author/s: Oliver Rohr

September: Office Market in Search of Orientation

The uncertainties of the first half of the year are depressing office space turnover in the class A cities. The spread of the home office and a possible loss of jobs with possibly lower space requirements in the long term are unsettling many players. However, current signals already point to a certain recovery in market conditions

10.08.2020 Author/s: Dr. Maximilian Schlachter

August: Surcharges for balcony and elevator - almost everywhere

How do certain apartment characteristics affect the purchase price and rent? This question is relevant for many market participants such as project developers, portfolio owners and property valuers. It can be answered with the help of statistical tools and a corresponding data basis. The results are by no means consistent in the class A cities

01.07.2020 Author/s: Patrik Völtz

July: Top Logistics Rents Rise for Years

Breaking supply chains have a direct impact on production processes and thus on the entire global economy, as the corona crisis illustrates. However, logistics real estate is not only needed for stranded goods. Our current forecast shows: Top rents will continue to rise in the coming years - by up to eight percent in prime locations

02.06.2020 Author/s: Robin Cunningham and André Adami

June: Hardly any impact on condominium prices

In the two previous year's forecasts, we were already assuming continuously falling growth rates, which should lead to an end to the real estate boom and a slow reduction in the sometimes high valuations. In a real estate market in a state of shock, the current forecast shows that in the residential segment, purchase prices and rents will decline only slightly by comparison

07.05.2020 Author/s: Dr. Joseph Frechen, Felix Schrader

Declining Turnover Even Before the Corona Crisis

Part of the turnover of the stationary retail trade, which was lost to online trade during the shutdown phase, remains permanently lost. This means that the pre-Corona turnover level will probably no longer be reached

01.04.2020 Author/s: Ellen Heinrich

April: Residential Project Developers Bid Farewell to Class A Cities

The Project Developer Study 2020 shows: for the first time, residential property developments in the seven class A cities are declining. At the same time, growth in commercial real estate has also been significantly dampened

04.03.2020 Author/s: Andreas Wiegner, Oliver Rohr

March: Office Boom in A-cities Continues

In 2019, the volume for office investments will total almost EUR 40 billion. This is the highest value ever documented. More than ever, the majority of these investments are in class A cities. There are several reasons for this popularity

03.02.2020 Author/s: Dr. Heike Piasecki

February: Housing Stock too Old for the Elderly

Germany’s housing stock is not prepared for elderly dwellers – with barely 2.4 percent of the residential accommodation being disability-friendly. Accordingly, there is an urgent need for action. By converse argument, this represents quite an opportunity for providers of senior-living accommodation

03.12.2019 Author/s: Felix Embacher and Oliver Rohr

December: Let’s Go to Essen!

What do you know about the city of Essen? For us, it is one of the most interesting tier-two locations in Germany – and not just because this is where we will open our fifth branch next February! Its office market is the most important one in the Ruhr, and the parameters for property developers are sound. Rents and prices on the housing market have seen substantial growth since 2012

01.11.2019 Author/s: Tobias Kassner

November: A Look at Germany’s Logistics Regions

The shortage in available land plots in some logistics regions is causing the keen demand for space to go unmet. Our new mathematical model captures the regional demand across Germany – arriving at an annual total of 6.5 million square metres. The good news being: There are alternatives on the peripheries.

01.10.2019 Author/s: Andreas Schulten

October: New Trend – More and More Investor Developers

Germany’s market for property developments is seriously in flux. For classic trader developers, it is becoming ever more difficult to build, especially when it comes to residential development. Could this be an opportunity for investor developers?

02.09.2019 Author/s: Sven Carstensen and Robin Cunningham

September: Price-to-Rent Multiples for Multi-Unit Dwellings Reach Peak

Profitable investments in existing residential real estate keeps getting more demanding in the markets of German A- and B-Class cities. In the Class A markets, yield rates have long dropped below 3 %. For the time being, the rise in price-to-rent multiples continues, suggesting a further rise in purchase prices compared to rents. But the curve might soon start to level out

01.08.2019 Author/s: bulwiengesa

August: Shifting Sentiment in the Real Estate Industry

Deutsche Hypo’s Real Estate Climate declined for the fifth consecutive time. Political uncertainties are worrying interviewed real estate experts. The decline of the Investment Climate was particularly rapid, but Hotel Climate and Logistics Climate also suffered serious setbacks. Only one segment bucked the trend.

01.07.2019 Author/s: Martin Steininger

July: Municipalities Remain Cause for Concern

There is a massive shortfall in construction investments—not just as far as buildings go—and particularly so in German municipalities. The balance has been negative since 2002. At a time when the body politic is urging private investors to build more homes, there is growing doubt that cities and communities are adequately funded to handle this task.

01.06.2019 Author/s: Andreas Wiegner

June: Commercial Investment Preferences Have Clearly Shifted

Office real estate is investors’ darling and has taken the place of retail real estate. That said, many investors, including more and more German institutional investors, have also warmed to logistics and operator real estate in recent years.

01.05.2019 Author/s: Patrik Völtz

May: “Unternehmensimmobilien” – Many Occupiers Seek Short Lease Terms

Fewer German companies than ever are willing to tie themselves long-term to a given property. The latest market report by Initiative Unternehmensimmobilien reveals: Lease terms have drastically shortened in recent years. Just five out of 100 occupiers rent for periods of ten years or more.

01.04.2019 Author/s: Ellen Heinrich

April: More Lucrative, Less Complicated – Property Developers Embrace Business Assets

Things shifted in 2017. Commercial property completions outperformed residential ones for the first time that year. Today, even housing developers increasingly prefer to develop commercial premises, especially offices. If nothing else, this cushions the office vacancy situation that paralysed some markets.